"1. HHHHTTT
2. THHTHTT
3. TTTTTTT
On which would you bet?"
True -- that all are equally probable. But there is one more piece of
information
you gave us -- you said YOU HAD ACTUALLY TOSSED the coins.
So since #2 is more typical, and since it is more likely you tossed
something
typical than not -- I'd bet on #2.
What am I missing?
Burgy
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