Re: [asa] YEC--What can we offer them?

Gregory

I do not know what your standards are for convincing. You have raised doubt
to an extreme artform in which discussion with anyone else is impossible.
There are aspects of science which are beyond question, the age of the
earth, heliocentricity, nuclear fission are just three. Others aspects of
science have a higher probability of being wrong - global warming is one,
though I am convinced it is happening, also snowball earth in the late
Precambrian. On both of these there is a significant probability that they
could be wrong, higher for snowball in fact..

I would suggest that you argue with a bit more sense and give up your
posturing of questioning. You have argued like this for a long time and
simply do not want to listen to anyone who challenges your futile radical
doubt.

The sooner your realise that in science there is a gradation for total
certainty (i.e. a scientific theory which is so well substantiated that it
is beyond question, though it can be a good thing to look into its
foundations as I did on geological ideas of time), through high probability,
medium probability right down to what is little more than speculation with
virtually no evidence to support it. Further evidence can either
substantiate or weaken any theory.

Thus if you consider Snowball earth there is now no question that the
glacial sediments are a little older than the base of the Cambrian. That was
demonstrated 100 years ago. In the 70s when I was working on some of them ,
half of geologists reckoned they were not glacial, but came round. There
could be a small question here. Now as for glaciation on all the globe this
is more tentative and it seems a reasonable idea but could well be proved
wrong.

So on these three aspects of late Precambrian glaciation , there is no
probability that they are not that age, a little probability that they are
not glacial, and considerable probability that there was no Snowball earth.

I hope all this gives some idea of probability in science

Michael
----- Original Message -----
From: "Gregory Arago" <gregoryarago@yahoo.ca>
To: "Michael Roberts" <michael.andrea.r@ukonline.co.uk>; "Christine Smith"
<christine_mb_smith@yahoo.com>; <asa@calvin.edu>
Sent: Saturday, June 30, 2007 10:48 PM
Subject: Re: [asa] YEC--What can we offer them?

> Thank you Michael for your answer, from a professional
> geological perspective. As you are surely aware, I was
> not suggesting that the earth is 'young.' Of course,
> you were making sure that I was not and am not
> suggesting that and now because of what I've just
> written you are confirmed.
>
> That being said, you only addressed one part of a
> three part question of mine that you quoted. The
> 'young birth' and 'interventions' parts are also very
> important for dialogue with YECs. Don't you agree? Is
> it because they are not only geological or theological
> questions that you refrained from offering an opinion?
> Is it because they are much more difficult than the
> age of earth question?
>
> "so we can say that there is no possibility that the
> earth is young." - M. Roberts
>
> I disagree. We can say there is a very low
> probability. We could even repeat 'very' several
> times. But we cannot (read: should not) say 'no
> possibility.' That would be excessive and there is no
> need to be excessive and frankly, 'science' does not
> pretend to that mantle. There are extra-geological
> views that can impact our probabilities and
> possibilities. We are all here who are discussing
> these things humans, after all (except perhaps if
> infiltrated by a chat-bot!).
>
> This reflects a similar grievance I take with
> 'universal evolutionism.' It is just excessive and not
> responsible to posit such a thing as 'science' or as
> 'theology'.
>
> Regards,
> Gregory
>
>
>
>
>
>
> --- Michael Roberts <michael.andrea.r@ukonline.co.uk>
> wrote:
>
>>
>> >
>> > > Christine, are you really asking how 'we' can
>> > >
>> > For example, as a geologist, Christine, is there
>> ANY
>> > possibility you would consider either a 'young'
>> > earth,' a 'young' birth of Adam and Eve (within
>> the
>> > last 10,000 years) or a view of 'science' that
>> > accomodates (or at least doesn't disqualify)
>> > 'interventions' by (a) creator God in 'natural
>> > processes'? In other words, are you 'closed' on
>> the
>> > viewpoint of an 'old' earth? Further, what are you
>> > willing to do to either avoid or appease conflict?
>> >
>> > >
>> > G. Arago
>>
>> I will answer Gregory. A geologist as a scientist
>> should have a questioning
>> and quizzical attitude to the age of the earth and
>> thus must be "open".
>>
>> One of the joys of doing the history of geology is
>> that you can see how this
>> open attitude worked itself out over 350 years or
>> so. They began with a
>> young earth - in an open way - as there was no
>> evidence against it and by
>> 1680 because of open minds many realised that the
>> earth was older than young
>> i.e 6000 years. The evidence convinced them.
>>
>> During the 18th century more evidence convinced
>> these open minded geologists
>> Christian or not and so by 1800 it was seen to be
>> either 100000 yrs or so or
>> even millions. By the 1820s when geology was
>> dominated by devout clergy
>> millions or "trillions" was the order of the day.
>> (trillions from Conybeare
>> an evangelical) In 1905 radioactivity was applied to
>> dating coming up first
>> with 2 billion and since 1946 the age has remained
>> constant at 4.6 billion.
>>
>> So today can I or anyone else consider a young earth
>> . Well theoretically
>> YES, but there have to be good arguments that
>> geologists have been wrong for
>> the last 300odd years and good evidence put in its
>> place. So far all the arguments against an old earth
> and for a young earth have been shown too be
> fallacious or even fraudulent, so we can say that
> there is no possibility that the earth is young.
>>
>> We could apply much the same type of argument to
>> consider the possibility that the earth is flat. The
> answer again is NO for reasons which should be so
> obvious.
>>
>> This frankly is why any suggestion that the earth is
>> young - 10000yrs - is
>> simply absurd
>>
>> Michael
>>
>>
>
>
>
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Received on Sun Jul 1 16:43:15 2007