In a message dated 13/11/00 18:22:22 GMT Standard Time, billwald@juno.com
writes:
<< This is a gross mis-use of probability. It is meaningless to talk about
the probability of historical events. If an event occurs then all you
can say is that it happened so the "probability" was 100%. I would like
to hear from a real mathematician about this.
Also, it is impossible to produce data. For example, what were the odds
that a Jewish trouble maker would be crucified by the Romans? Lots higher
than for being hit by a bus (chariot). The Romans crucified tens of
thousands over the years. >>
This is a popular calculation. Not only are the numbers totally
unquantifiable ; if it is like the EDTAV version it excludes
consequential events (e.g. in the genealogy lists ; I bet at least
100 of those are from there !) and it assumes that all "prophecy"
is reached by the same method.
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