Re: Kirk Durston's response

From: Michael Roberts (michael.andrea.r@ukonline.co.uk)
Date: Tue Nov 11 2003 - 13:09:43 EST

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    ----- Original Message -----
    From: "NSS" <kirk@newscholars.com>
    To: "Michael Roberts" <michael.andrea.r@ukonline.co.uk>; "Denyse O'Leary"
    <oleary@sympatico.ca>; <asa@calvin.edu>
    Sent: Tuesday, November 11, 2003 3:13 PM
    Subject: Re: Kirk Durston's response

    > As before, Denyse, please have this posted on the ASA discussion list.
    >
    >
    >
    > On 11/10/03 5:49 PM, "Michael Roberts" <michael.andrea.r@ukonline.co.uk>
    > wrote:
    >
    > >
    > > Having decided that 70 is the magic number (perhaps numerologists may
    note
    > > the 7 - divine number) then proteins with 300 bits cant be natural and
    > > therefore divine by interruption.
    >
    > Two points to make here. First, 70 bits is not simply picked out of the
    > blue. If one plots 'information gain' vs. 'time', one will notice that the
    > curve approaches a horizontal asymptote somewhere in the region of 70
    bits.
    > I say 'somewhere in the region' because the amount of information carried
    > per site in any sequence will affect how soon the curve goes asymptotic.

    MBR Who has done this and where is it publsihed? What does it mean?
    >
    > Second, Michael's objection misrepresents my hypothesis. He implies that
    my
    > argument goes something like, "wow, I can't see how nature can do this,
    > therefore, God must've done it!" This is neither the argument, nor the
    > hypothesis. My hypothesis is based upon two empirical observations:
    >
    > 1) In our observations of the day-to-day processes of nature, we notice
    that
    > natural processes cannot seem to produce more than a few dozen bits of
    > functional information. They do not even seem to have the capability.
    MBR Can you please describe your observations on this and where they are
    written up?

    >
    > 2) In our observations of this world, we notice that intelligent agents,
    > such as humans, can produce vast amounts of functional information.

    So waht!
    >
    > From the above two empirical observations, we can put together an
    > hypothesis:
    >
    > Hypothesis: Any structure, configuration, or sequence that requires more
    > than 70 bits of functional information, requires intelligent design.
    >
    > Michael has not considered the role of empirical observation (2).
    MBR What empirical observation ?
    Without
    > (2), then the argument would, indeed, collapse into a God-of-the-gaps
    > argument. With (2), however, the argument stands on solid, empirical
    ground,
    > and gives us a real, live, empirically verifiable option.
    >
    > There are good reasons for all this, that center around the fact that
    > configurations that contain a large amount of information, represent a
    very
    > large entropic anomaly in the physical system, under Shannon information.
    > Nature is not in the business of producing huge anomalies on a regular
    > basis. For a minimal genome, we would need roughly 250 anomalies so large,
    > that even just one of them is not likely to occur in the history of the
    > universe. When we see something like that, we need to face reality, rather
    > than concoct yet another ad hoc story with an ever increasing number of
    > epicyclic embellishments, as the ardent Darwinist such as Dawkins is so
    wont
    > to do. Dawkins, and others like him, have confused the art of
    story-telling
    > with doing hard science. They are guilty of the 'evolution-of-the-gaps'
    > argument.
    >
    > As for Michael's contention that the hypothesis is not falsifiable, I must
    > ask him to carefully go over the two experiments I proposed.
    MBR Have you done those experiments? Where have you written them up?

     Either
    > experiment is capable of falsifying the hypothesis if the hypothesis is
    > wrong. The fact that, thus far, experiments have failed to falsify the
    > hypothesis should not be taken as grounds for saying that the hypothesis
    is
    > not falsifiable, otherwise, every true hypothesis in science would fall
    into
    > the same category. Some hypotheses, although falsifiable, may not be able
    to
    > be falsified simply because they are a true description of the way the
    world
    > is.
    >
    > I repeat my challenge; do the science proposed in my two suggested
    > experiments and see if my hypothesis, which is falsifiable, is actually
    > falsified or not.
    MBR From what you write I cannot work out what these experiments are.
    > >
    > > Simply God retreats as a gap is filled.
    > > It is a sophisticated version of God of the Gaps - which is of course
    the
    > > staple of IDers however cleverly they express it.
    >
    > I cannot speak for all ID theorists; I am sure that some may actually use
    > various forms of a God-of-the-gaps argument. I do know, however, that the
    > general assertion that Michael makes misrepresents some ID theorists,
    > including myself. One should not be so convinced that all ID theorists use
    > such-and-such argument that when a valid ID argument comes along which the
    > skeptic cannot refute, the skeptic assumes it is merely a highly
    > sophisticated form of the standard argument, so sophisticated, mind you,
    > that the skeptic cannot actually cannot show the link. When that occurs,
    > then it becomes the skeptic's own beliefs that leave the realm of
    > falsification.
    > >
    > > Biochemistry is too young a science to make predictions or
    > > assertions like this. If we do in a few years someone may/will find an
    > > explanation and God is squeezed out of another gap.
    >
    > There is a lot more than mere biochemistry involved in my hypothesis.
    There
    > is a steadily growing body of evidence from physics, information theory,
    and
    > mathematics, all of it consistent with the hypothesis I present.
    > Furthermore, the gap, when it comes to natural processes that can produce
    > novel 3-D structures in proteins, and encode functional information into
    > regulatory sequences, is not by any stretch of the imagination becoming
    > smaller.
    >
    > One more point. Until a person has a scientific method to detect ID, one
    > cannot, on scientific grounds, say that ID was or was not involved. I see
    a
    > large number of scientists insisting that ID was not involved in the
    origin
    > and diversification of organic life, yet they do not have a scientific
    > method to test such statements. That is bad science. In a personal email
    > conversation I had with Richard Dawkins a couple years ago, it became
    quite
    > clear that Dawkins not only does not have a scientific method to test for
    > ID, he is actually opposed to science developing one!
    MBR it is difficult to devise a scientific test for ID.
    >
    > Furthermore, I see far too many scientists who foresee the philosophical
    > implications of ID and who therefore refuse to do the science. The job of
    > science is to develop a generally accepted method to detect ID and then
    let
    > the philosophers and theologians wrestle with the implications. But
    > scientists should not let the philosophical implications hinder scientific
    > inquiry. That is bad science. So the real people who are smuggling
    > philosophy and religion into their science are those who oppose ID without
    > any scientific method to test for ID. The hypothesis I present offers such
    a
    > scientific method. It makes predictions that are falsifiable. It can be
    > applied to the real world, and comes up with results that are repeatable
    and
    > entirely consistent with the general body of empirical science.
    >
    > Cheers,
    >
    > Kirk
    >
    MBR Honestly I dont think you have give a coherent case.>
    >



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