Re: Glenn's book (reviewed by...

GRMorton@aol.com
Mon, 14 Aug 1995 07:17:40 -0400

Graeme Cumming wrote:
>>These 59 alleles could easily be variants which arose since a recent
(4000 ? years ago) flood.

You need to explain your comments re: speed of evolution further.
These are only variants, not genes coding for new characteristics.<<

I didn't say they were genes coding for new characteristics. I said they
were alleles. I will pull this from the YEC literature because this is what
we teach our children in our apologetics classes

"Fortunately, mutations are very rare. They occur on an average ofperhaps
once every 10 million duplications of a DNA molecule. That's fairly rare."
Morris and Parker, What is Creation Science? p. 97

But of course when you multiply this by the total number of base pairs in the
human body you get a lot of mutations each duplication. But here is the
problem. Since an allele resides at the same location on the genome, the
odds that any alteration will occur at say a 1000 base pair is 1 in 10,000.
Some alleles require multiple substitutions. and in the past 4000 years,
there have been approximately 200 generations giving the odds for creating a
new allele at 200/10000= .02. If you go back 100000 years there are 5000
generations giving an odds of each locale having 1 mutation of 50%. I don't
think this is enough time to produce the kind of variability we see. The YEC
position is the most unreasonable here because on average they must have one
new allele arise every 56 years in the case of the mouse with 92 alleles I
cited last night. Egyptian cats look exactly like the one I have sponging off
of (oops I mean living with) me. So where is the evidence that genetic
replacement occurs so rapidly?

Does evolution proceed that rapidly? Do we have observational evidence of
multiple allele generation in that time frame?

I noticed that your didn't mention the chromosome number problem. That seems
to me to require even more time for just the right fusion or fission of a
chromosome to occcur or the offspring will die.

glenn