[asa] Arctic Sea Ice Refreezing Stalled Out

http://www.nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_timeseries.png

During the Fall the denialists were saying that arctic ice was refreezing at
a "record rate". Now we the refreezing rate has gone flat and January 22 is
lining up as even with 2006-7. One key difference is there is a lot of first
and second year thin ice which will melt faster this Summer. Ice volume in a
sense is more important than ice extent. The refreezing could kick up again
but if it does not it seems likely we will see a record or near record melt
this Summer because of the thinner, newer ice. This is likely even taking
into account a weak La Nina predicted for this Winter (
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/fxus05.html).

OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC INDICATORS SUGGEST WEAK LA NINA
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#la
nina> CONDITIONS ARE IN
>
PLACE. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS)
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#ssts>
ARE BELOW NORMAL ALONG THE EQUATOR
>
THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN WITH WATER TEMPERATURES JUST UNDER
>
THE SURFACE SUBSTANTIALLY BELOW NORMAL. SST
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#sst>
FORECASTING TOOLS INDICATE LA NINA
<http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/seasglossary.html#la
nina>
>
CONDITIONS IN EARLY 2009, BUT A RETURN TO NEUTRAL CONDITIONS COULD HAPPEN AS
>
EARLY AS FMA 2009.
>

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Received on Fri Jan 23 17:41:24 2009