From: Glenn Morton (glennmorton@entouch.net)
Date: Thu Nov 06 2003 - 07:31:16 EST
It started out as a stewardship of the earth issue for me about 3 years ago.
All I was doing was updating where things stood. Sorry if you think it
doesn't belong here. If others feel the same, I will cease and desist.
>-----Original Message-----
>From: gordon brown [mailto:gbrown@euclid.Colorado.EDU]
>Sent: Thursday, November 06, 2003 3:56 PM
>To: Glenn Morton
>Cc: asa@calvin.edu
>Subject: Re: UK oil production lowest since 1992
>
>
>This is interesting, important, and informative, and I think it is good
>for me to know about it, but I don't see any mention of Christian faith,
>which is supposed to be a criterion for posts to this forum. Ken Touryan,
>in his talk at this year's annual meeting, indicated that the energy issue
>should be a focus of the ASA in the upcoming years. Perhaps someone could
>show us how to make the connection.
>
>Gordon Brown
>Department of Mathematics
>University of Colorado
>Boulder, CO 80309-0395
>
>
>On Tue, 4 Nov 2003, Glenn Morton wrote:
>
>> I am not currently subscribed, but thought this might be of some
>interest.
>> The August production from the United Kingdom fell to its lowest
>level since
>> somewhere around 1992. If the 7.992 million tonnes of oil produced in
>> August were continued for a year, it, 96 million tonnes, would only be
>> slightly greater than the 1992 production. The UK illustrates
>how rapidly
>> depletion affects production. Up until 1999 everything looked
>like roses.
>> The production was skyrocketing:
>> year barrels
>> 1997 128,234,000
>> 1998 132,633,000
>> 1999 137,099,000
>>
>> But then all the factors which affect production came to effect and the
>> decline was very rapid:
>>
>>
>> 2000 126,029,000
>> 2001 117,396,000
>> 2002 115,941,000
>> 2003 est 108,000,000
>>
>> The production from December of last year has been almost on
>steady decline:
>> 2002 December 10,593,000
>> 2003 January 9,879,000
>> 2003 February 9,072,000
>> 2003 March 9,873,000
>> 2003 April 8,968,000
>> 2003 May 8,574,000
>> 2003 June 8,158,000
>> 2003 July 8,903,000
>> 2003 August 7,992,000
>>
>> Norway, another major world producer is also showing its signs
>of age. Th
>> production is as follows:
>>
>> 1998 168 million cubic meters
>> 1999 168 million cubic meters
>> 2000 181 million cubic meters
>>
>> Up until that point there was no sign of trouble. But the years
>since 2000
>> have shown a different story
>>
>> 2001 180 million cubic meters
>> 2002 173 million cubic meters
>> 2003 165 million cubic meters estimated
>>
>> The big hope for new production in the world is in West Africa
>and Central
>> Asia. West Africa will largely be replacing production lost
>from the North
>> Sea and Central Asia is going to take a long time to get the oil
>to market
>> and it will be pipeline capacity constricted. All of this is
>more evidence
>> that the world is on the edge of a major energy crisis.
>>
>> For more info see:
>> http://home.entouch.net/dmd/Oilcrisis.htm
>>
>
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