From: gordon brown (gbrown@euclid.colorado.edu)
Date: Thu Nov 06 2003 - 10:55:46 EST
This is interesting, important, and informative, and I think it is good
for me to know about it, but I don't see any mention of Christian faith,
which is supposed to be a criterion for posts to this forum. Ken Touryan,
in his talk at this year's annual meeting, indicated that the energy issue
should be a focus of the ASA in the upcoming years. Perhaps someone could
show us how to make the connection.
Gordon Brown
Department of Mathematics
University of Colorado
Boulder, CO 80309-0395
On Tue, 4 Nov 2003, Glenn Morton wrote:
> I am not currently subscribed, but thought this might be of some interest.
> The August production from the United Kingdom fell to its lowest level since
> somewhere around 1992. If the 7.992 million tonnes of oil produced in
> August were continued for a year, it, 96 million tonnes, would only be
> slightly greater than the 1992 production. The UK illustrates how rapidly
> depletion affects production. Up until 1999 everything looked like roses.
> The production was skyrocketing:
> year barrels
> 1997 128,234,000
> 1998 132,633,000
> 1999 137,099,000
>
> But then all the factors which affect production came to effect and the
> decline was very rapid:
>
>
> 2000 126,029,000
> 2001 117,396,000
> 2002 115,941,000
> 2003 est 108,000,000
>
> The production from December of last year has been almost on steady decline:
> 2002 December 10,593,000
> 2003 January 9,879,000
> 2003 February 9,072,000
> 2003 March 9,873,000
> 2003 April 8,968,000
> 2003 May 8,574,000
> 2003 June 8,158,000
> 2003 July 8,903,000
> 2003 August 7,992,000
>
> Norway, another major world producer is also showing its signs of age. Th
> production is as follows:
>
> 1998 168 million cubic meters
> 1999 168 million cubic meters
> 2000 181 million cubic meters
>
> Up until that point there was no sign of trouble. But the years since 2000
> have shown a different story
>
> 2001 180 million cubic meters
> 2002 173 million cubic meters
> 2003 165 million cubic meters estimated
>
> The big hope for new production in the world is in West Africa and Central
> Asia. West Africa will largely be replacing production lost from the North
> Sea and Central Asia is going to take a long time to get the oil to market
> and it will be pipeline capacity constricted. All of this is more evidence
> that the world is on the edge of a major energy crisis.
>
> For more info see:
> http://home.entouch.net/dmd/Oilcrisis.htm
>
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